Oct 2, 2013

What is a Trendline and its significance

We always come to know of Trendline whenever we talk about technical analysis of any stock or an Index itself in the stock market.Knowledge of a trendline is an essential step for understanding and using the technical analysis for trading by the traders in the stock markets.Here,we shall be studying about it how to use it.
Fig 1 (courtesy-www.moneycontrol.com)
By definition,Trendline is a line drawn on a chart of a security(stock,commodity,currency etc) or Index by joining the upper or lower price points.Trendline depicts the trend of the security and helps to predict the future price movements.

Trendlines may of several types like Linear,Exponential,Polynomial,Moving Average or Logarithmic but we shall talk only of Linear Trendline only as it is most commonly used by the trader and is more accurate in predicting the future prices.
Fig 2 ( courtesy-www.moneycontrol.com )
 We can draw the trendline for both, up trending security and a down trending security.In an uptrending security,a trader is willing to buy it so as to take the advantage of the trend but he is reluctant to buy it near the top.Risk is that prices have the tendency to retrace back and again move higher.So,he will draw a trendline on the chart in such a way that it joins maximum number of low prices touched by that security.You can see in Fig1,there is a daily chart of Heromotocorp stock which is in continuous uptrend since July,2013.We have drawn a line joining the lower points which we can continue to extend further as more prices appear on the chart.In an uptrending stock,prices are bound to move higher and in order to capture maximum move,the look will look to buy it at dips.At how much dip? Trendline helps to decide that.You see whenever prices retrace after moving higher,they continue to bounce from the trendline.So,we can a trade by buying the security when it comes closer to the trendline in anticipation that prices will rise again.We will be riding the trend till our targets are met or the security closes below the trend that is the closing price of the security is below the line in a trading session.Thus,trendline act as support for a security and the stock moves higher,support also moves higher and so moves your stoploss.
 Similarly, Fig 2 shows the daily chart of down trending State Bank Of India ( SBI ) stock where the stock tries to move higher and retraces back after striking the trendline.So short selling traders enter the trade when stock moves higher and comes near the trendline, anticipating further price fall.Here also,the trendline acts as resistance point for the price and traders enjoy the move till stock remains below the trendline.

1 comment:

  1. see how trendline magic works in uptrending stock.we showed heromotocorp stock chart with trendline in above chart.In previous trading session,it closed just above the trendline and in today's session it has bounced back sharply more than 2% in first hour of trading only.whosoever may have bought even one lot of Future of Heromotocorp would have made Rs 5000 with capital investment of Rs 30000 in one hour only...